Tag Archives: Turkey

The Erdogan/Gul Prisoner Dilemma

During the Cold War, strategists often turned to game theory to explain deterrence and the concept of mutually assured destruction (MAD). The United States and the Soviet Union, for example, were cast as players in an open-ended PD game, whereby … Continue reading

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Turkey’s Airplane-less Nuclear Weapons: A Classic Crisis Stability Problem? (Updated)

As Hans K. notes over at Strategic Security, the United States Air Force’s 2015 Budget shows “that integration of the B61-12 on NATO F-16 and Tornado aircraft will start in 2015 for completion in 2017 and 2018.” The upgrade includes: software … Continue reading

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Crowdsourcing Turkey’s Satellite Launch Vehicle

  In July 2013, SSM concluded a contract with Roketsan to begin pre-conceptual work on a satellite launch vehicle (SLV). SSM has asked that the proposed SLV be capable of launching satellites into low-earth-orbit. Roketsan has also been asked to … Continue reading

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Podcast: Turkey’s Perception in Washington

Journalist Yigal Schleifer and I discuss Turkey’s perception in Washington, the future of the Gulen movement, the prospects for a Turkish-Israeli rapprochement, and Erdogan’s presidential prospects. Follow @YigalSchleifer for excellent Turkey analysis on twitter. 

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Podcast: Turkey’s Contested Election and Prime Minister Erdogan’s Uncertain Future

Journalist Noah Blaser and I discuss post-election Turkey, the prospects for the Kurdish peace process, and the country’s very uncertain political future.  Follow @nblaser18 on twitter for excellent Turkey analysis.

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Explaining Erdogan’s Decision-Making

Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is a brilliant politician. The Prime Minister, through the use of modern campaign techniques that are unrivaled in Turkey, is able to keep his thumb on the pulse of the Turkish Republic and – more … Continue reading

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A Heron Drone at Batman Airbase: More from Open Source Imagery

I thought I would also post a picture of a Heron drone stationed at Batman airbase in Turkey. 

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The AKP’s Election Strategy: Controlling the Corruption Narrative

I am breaking my silence. I am still committed to finishing my dissertation before the end of this academic year, so I don’t expect to post many more blog posts before June. However, the recent corruption allegations have prompted me to … Continue reading

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What to Make of Turkey’s Thinking about Missile Defense: The Interoperability Issue (Again)

According to a recent Reuters report, “Turkey has accepted assurances a planned NATO missile defense system in which it is playing a part is not designed to protect Israel as well.” The report quotes NATO alliance deputy secretary-general, Alexander Vershbow, … Continue reading

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Ozalism: Vendor Financing and Nuclear Decision-Making

What follows is a small snippet of my dissertation. I have decided to publish this section on the blog after reading the Asahi Shimbun editorial that raised questions about Turkey’s nuclear future (And because I will never get to publish this particular section in … Continue reading

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