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Monthly Archives: April 2014
An ISIS youtube video was posted today that showed a number of the vehicles in the Turkish convoy sent to the Suleyman Shah tomb. The video has a lot of geographic markers that I think allows for the identification of … Continue reading
The Turkish Convoy: The Vehicles
The youtube video above allows for the identification of some of the vehicles used in the Turkish military convoy that entered Syria. The first is the Kirpi: The Kirpi is a mine resistant, ambush protected (MRAP) vehicle capable of carrying … Continue reading
On 23 April, the Turkish military sent a large convoy of trucks, tanks, and armored personnel carriers into Syria to resupply the troops stationed at the Suleyman Shah Tomb ( 36° 38′ 19.06″ N, 38° 12′ 27.07″ E). The tomb sits … Continue reading
The Erdogan/Gul Prisoner Dilemma
During the Cold War, strategists often turned to game theory to explain deterrence and the concept of mutually assured destruction (MAD). The United States and the Soviet Union, for example, were cast as players in an open-ended PD game, whereby … Continue reading
The Akkuyu Nuclear Plant: What Exactly is Going On?
In early April, Rosatom allocated $1.39 billion for the construction of the Akkuyu nuclear power plant to the project company Akkuyu NPP JSC (AKKUYU NGS ELEKTRIK ÜRETIM ANONIM ŞIRKETI). The project company is a 100% Russian owned subsidiary that is tasked … Continue reading
Turkey’s Airplane-less Nuclear Weapons: A Classic Crisis Stability Problem? (Updated)
As Hans K. notes over at Strategic Security, the United States Air Force’s 2015 Budget shows “that integration of the B61-12 on NATO F-16 and Tornado aircraft will start in 2015 for completion in 2017 and 2018.” The upgrade includes: software … Continue reading
Crowdsourcing Turkey’s Satellite Launch Vehicle
In July 2013, SSM concluded a contract with Roketsan to begin pre-conceptual work on a satellite launch vehicle (SLV). SSM has asked that the proposed SLV be capable of launching satellites into low-earth-orbit. Roketsan has also been asked to … Continue reading
Podcast: Turkey’s Perception in Washington
Journalist Yigal Schleifer and I discuss Turkey’s perception in Washington, the future of the Gulen movement, the prospects for a Turkish-Israeli rapprochement, and Erdogan’s presidential prospects. Follow @YigalSchleifer for excellent Turkey analysis on twitter.
Podcast: Turkey’s Contested Election and Prime Minister Erdogan’s Uncertain Future
Journalist Noah Blaser and I discuss post-election Turkey, the prospects for the Kurdish peace process, and the country’s very uncertain political future. Follow @nblaser18 on twitter for excellent Turkey analysis.
A Cyber Crackdown on Gulen Media?
On 28 March 2014, Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu made a rather sweeping policy statement regarding cyber warfare. In response to a leaked audio recording that allegedly captured Turkish policymakers debating whether or not to use a “false flag” attack to … Continue reading
Turkey Wonk: Nuclear and Political Musings in Turkey and Beyond 